Weekly Regulation Summary

Summary for Week Ending 17 April 2019

Ottawa River flows are forecast to increase rapidly and significantly over the next several days in response to a major storm system, with heavy precipitation, mild temperatures and significant snowmelt expected. Lake Ontario's outflow is currently 7600 m³/s and will continue to be adjusted as Ottawa River flows into the St. Lawrence River near Montreal increase.

  Week Ending: Wed, 17 Apr 2019 Average this time of the year (c) 
Lake Ontario -    
         Actual end of week level: 75.12 m  (246.46 ft) 74.89 m  (245.70 ft)
         Computed Plan 2014 Level (a): 75.12 m  (246.46 ft)  
         Computed Preproject Level (b): 75.80 m  (248.69 ft)  
         Weekly Mean Outflow: 8230 m³/s  (290600 ft³/s) 7280 m³/s  (257100 ft³/s)
         Weekly Total Supply: 10250 m³/s  (362000 ft³/s) 9100 m³/s  (321400 ft³/s)
Lake St. Lawrence at Long Sault Dam Weekly Mean Level:  73.32 m  (240.55 ft) 73.54 m  (241.27 ft)
Lake St. Louis at Pointe-Claire Weekly Mean Level:  22.05 m  (72.34 ft) 21.66 m  (71.06 ft)
Montreal Harbour at Jetty #1 Weekly Mean Level:  7.71 m  (25.30 ft) 7.34 m  (24.08 ft)
Ottawa River at Carillon Weekly Mean Outflow: 4280 m³/s  (151100 ft³/s) 3360 m³/s  (118700 ft³/s)
Preliminary Lake Ontario Outflow for Week Ending Fri, 26 Apr 2019: 7600 m³/s  (268400 ft³/s) 7460 m³/s  (263400 ft³/s)

Levels are in metres (feet) IGLD 1985.  Supply and flows are in cubic metres (feet) per second m³/s (ft³/s).  

(a) Levels that would have occurred with strict adherence to Plan 2014.

(b) Levels that would have occurred had there been no Lake Ontario regulation.        
 
(c) For comparison purposes, Lake Ontario water level data since 1918 are used to be consistent with those published in the  US and Canadian Great Lakes bulletins (http://www.waterlevels.gc.ca/C&A/bulletin-eng.html). Other averages are for the periods as follows: Lake Ontario outflows and levels at Long Sault and Pointe-Claire since 1960; Montreal since 1967; and Ottawa River outflow at Carillon since 1963.        
                                                    
The regulation plan for Lake Ontario specifies a weekly average outflow from Saturday through the following Friday, inclusive.  To provide timely information for the coming week to the hydropower and Seaway operators, and our readers, we complete the regulation plan calculations each Thursday.  Our calculations use the data available at the time, which are from the previous seven days (Thursday through Wednesday). Since the two time periods do not exactly coincide, their data are usually slightly different.          
                    
The table shows the actual flow for the week ending Wednesday.  It also gives the preliminary flow for the coming week ending Friday.  We emphasize that this is the preliminary flow, since unforeseen flow changes may occur after we have issued our notice.  When these flow changes occur, they are reflected in the subsequent week's notice.

Information in this report is compiled from provisional data provided by: Environment & Climate Change Canada, Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Hydro Quebec, Ontario Power Generation Inc, the New York Power Authority, and the U.S. National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration.